hello. i'm alice. i am a mathematician (recently), a programmer (historically), and an entomophile (always). i feel as though i really ought to have a location on the web, for thematic consistency, so this is it. probably i will eventually put blog posts here which are not of general enough interest to be posted elsewhere (ie, about maths).
resume or cv available on request (if you are reading this, you probably have it already).
my lw account is peralice. currently i have one essay up there, which you can find here. i am currently (as of jan 2026) working on colluding to win the acx 2026 prediction contest; an essay (or at least a draft of an essay) about this will be posted here soon. i am also writing up a summary of some of my attempts to produce a more rigorously justified rating algorithm. in short, all widely used rating algorithms increase their confidence in the assigned rating even when the events which occur are predicted to be extremely unlikely; i am trying to produce an efficient algorithm which avoids this shortcoming.
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